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Dec-4-2008

Forex Technical Analytics

The pre-planned positions for sell from key resistance range were realized with attainment of basic assumed targets. OsMA trend indicator, having marked break of key supports by essential bearish activity rise gives reasons for supporting corresponding planning priorities for today. Hence and considering the ascending direction of indicator chart we…

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Dec-4-2008

Looking Ahead At A Clear European Schedule

Overall, the interest rate announcement played a much more important role than the equity markets, yesterday. The European pairs managed to rally against the dollar, despite the negative momentum the major indexes shared yesterday. This has not been happening lately. However, the yen was still not able to separate from…

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Dec-4-2008

Stocks Slide As Job Fears Grow/Yen Heads To 91 Per Dollar

The Business Roundtable’s quarterly CEO Economic Outlook Index tumbled to 16.5 in the quarter, the biggest drop it has ever taken, to the lowest point by far in the survey’s six-year history. A reading below 50 means that CEOs expect contraction rather than growth. The Business Roundtable’s 160 member companies…

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Dec-4-2008

BOE and ECB Cut to the Chase

The Bank of England and European Central Bank were both in history-making mode this morning. For the BoE their 100 basis point cut to the Bank Rate today brings interest rates in the U.K. to just 2.00% - matching the lowest point in centuries. The ECB cut rates by 75…

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Dec-4-2008

ECB and BOE Have Spoken!

The interest rate decisions by BOE and ECB came and gone, with traders left feeling more confused than before. BOE has cut rates as expected 100bps and ECB surprised markets by cutting 75bps rather than just 50 which was forecasted. Trichet said in his press conference in front of journalists,…

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Dec-4-2008

(BOE) Bank of England Reduces Bank Rate by 1.0 Percentage Points to 2.0%

The Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee today voted to reduce the official Bank Rate paid on commercial bank reserves by 1.0 percentage points to 2.0%. In the United Kingdom, business surveys have weakened further and suggest that the downturn has gathered pace. Consumer spending and business investment have stalled,…

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Dec-3-2008

Services Data Grim Around the World, Pound and Euro Pressured Prior to Central Bank Decisions

ISM non-manufacturing index plunged 7.1 points to 37.3 in November, a much worse result than expected by economists, and the worst level for the 11-year series. The services sector has stayed afloat longer than the manufacturing sector, but is now in a sharp downturn, and signals a deepening to the…

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Dec-3-2008

Forex Fundamental Outlook

Data released in the U.S. today were quite weak and this increased the chances the Federal Open Market Committee will respond with an aggressive rate cut on 16 December. Fed funds futures are fully pricing in a 50bps rate cut to 0.50% this month and the implied probability of a…

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Dec-3-2008

US Dollar Held Firm against Majors

The US dollar managed to hold on its gains against the Euro and the British Pound even when the US ADP Employment came worse than expectation, where 250 thousand jobs was terminated in November along with labor costs which eased from the previous reading, even when the ISM Non Manufacturing…

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Dec-2-2008

Speculation Damages Sterling

The UK currency failed to hold above 1.50 and was unable to make any headway on Wednesday. As equity markets weakened, Sterling weakened to below 1.47. Further speculation over possible EMU entry at a depressed rate was again a negative factor for the currency. The Euro-zone, however, would be very…

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