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Archive for December, 2008

Dec-21-2008

Daily Financial Market Outlook

As the year draws to a close, remaining economic data will merely confirm the broad-based contraction in the world’s developed economies, with further reductions in interest rates expected in the new year in the UK and eurozone, and the adoption of quantitative measures in the US. Ahead this week, the…

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Dec-21-2008

Low Activity In The Asian Session

Overall, the currency market moved very little in the Asian session. Both the euro and the yen advanced against the dollar, showing the market is willing to buy risk. However, the moves came on a very light volume, so confirmation is still needed. The release calendar was light in the…

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Dec-21-2008

Eco Data 12/22/08

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Dec-21-2008

Eco Data 12/22/08

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Dec-20-2008

Weekly Review and Outlook: Forex Markets in an Highly Uncertain State after a Violent Week

The forex markets are in a highly uncertain state after all the violent moves seen last week. Dollar is weak without a doubt when you saw the dollar index dropping more than 7% from 83.64 to intra week low of 77.69 after Fed cut the federal fund rates more than…

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Dec-20-2008

Evidence Based Trading

In this past Friday’s day trading session in our chat room many subscribers asked me to explain in detail my approach to short term trading. So I could think of nothing better for an end of the year column then sharing with you my evidence based approach to the markets….

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Dec-20-2008

Forex Follies

It was the best of times, it was the worst of times to be a euro bull this week. It simply depended on which time of the day you traded. As I noted in Friday’s commentary,”As we approach the holidays the currency market has taken on all the characteristics of…

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Dec-20-2008

EUR/USD Weekly Outlook

EUR/USD’s rise from 1.2549 accelerated to as high as 1.4719 last week, meeting mentioned 61.8% retracement of 1.6038 to 1.2329 at 1.4621 but retreated sharply since then. From a short term angle, a top should be in place at 1.4719. Initial bias will remain on the downside this week as…

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Dec-20-2008

GBP/USD Weekly Outlook

GBP/USD’s rebound from 1.4466 extended further to as high as 1.5722 there but subsequent fall indicated that such rebound has completed. Initial bias is mildly on the downside this week as long as 1.5185 minor resistance holds and retest of 1.4466 might be seen. Nevertheless, downside should be contained there…

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Dec-20-2008

USD/CHF Weekly Outlook

USD/CHF dived sharply lower to 1.0410 last week, taking out some key support levels including 1.0623 medium term resistance turned support, before rebounding strongly. A short term bottom is in place and further upside is in favor initially this week as long as 1.0743 minor support holds, towards 1.1246 resistance….

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